// Hacker Noon · 23 April 2026

How Prediction Markets Turn Crowd Belief Into Probability

Prediction markets let people trade contracts on real-world outcomes — where price equals probability. Unlike polls or expert opinions, they work because participants put real money on the line, which filters out noise and surfaces private knowledge. The result is a crowd-sourced probability estimat...

Hacker Noon

@hacker-noon · Lujan Odera

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